CUP Series

NASCAR CUP Series

Accupredict Driver Finish Projections

Accupredict driver finish projections for the upcoming race. It ain't rocket science. But it's pretty darn close!

YellaWood 500

Sunday, October 6th, 2024

Talladega Superspeedway, Lincoln, AL

Accupredict History at THIS TRACK NAME

Manufacturer Projected Odds

MAKE IN RACE ODDS TO WIN PCT TO WIN
Chevrolet 18 +150 43%
Ford 14 +400 19%
Toyota 8 +150 38%

What is this?

Custom Driver Groups

BOLD METRICS are currently contributing to projection. 4 of 6 (66.7%) metrics are in use.

  • Qualifying
  • Practice
  • Recent Form
  • YTD Driver Rating
  • Track Type Form
  • Track Driver Rating

Accupredict projections are recalculated as new race metric data is available. (Last updated Tuesday, October 1st at 1:10pm ET)

Accupredict Driver Projections for the YellaWood 500 at Talladega Superspeedway
DRIVER VEH # MAKE AP RNK AP FIN AP WIN AP T3 AP T5 AP T10 AP WIN % AP T3 % AP T5 % AP T10 % RECENT YTD DR TYPE TRACK PRAC ST DK $ FD $
AJ Allmendinger 13 Chevrolet 33 24.53 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 26.44 59.92 18.67 48.40 0 0 6,500 3,800
Brad Keselowski 6 Ford 8 15.03 +4700 +950 +450 +150 3.9% 14.2% 24.7% 51.3% 17.20 79.60 18.57 82.07 0 0 9,600 13,500
Denny Hamlin 11 Toyota 13 16.40 +19800 +1600 +650 +200 0.9% 9.0% 18.4% 43.4% 18.47 92.99 24.43 73.91 0 0 9,100 11,000
JJ Yeley 44 Chevrolet 40 29.90 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 31.67 28.38 26.33 39.74 0 0 5,000 3,000
Joey Logano 22 Ford 16 17.23 +2200 +800 +250 0.0% 6.4% 15.1% 38.7% 18.07 83.39 20.14 73.16 0 0 9,800 13,000
Kyle Busch 8 Chevrolet 7 14.16 +2900 +700 +350 +100 6.2% 18.2% 29.2% 56.4% 18.40 76.54 11.86 83.19 0 0 8,800 12,000
Martin Truex Jr 19 Toyota 11 15.86 +9300 +1300 +550 +150 2.0% 11.0% 20.7% 46.5% 23.07 86.96 20.00 78.36 0 0 7,800 9,000
Michael McDowell 34 Ford 21 20.05 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 18.73 69.59 23.14 68.80 0 0 7,700 8,200
Austin Dillon 3 Chevrolet 31 23.93 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 20.73 54.78 28.29 69.61 0 0 7,000 5,800
Ricky Stenhouse Jr 47 Chevrolet 27 21.90 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 21.73 56.95 20.71 71.93 0 0 7,200 6,800
Kyle Larson 5 Chevrolet 10 15.21 +5400 +1000 +450 +150 3.5% 13.5% 23.8% 50.2% 16.13 99.79 23.57 73.99 0 0 9,200 8,000
Alex Bowman 48 Chevrolet 9 15.19 +5300 +1000 +450 +150 3.5% 13.6% 23.9% 50.4% 15.73 79.82 12.86 74.82 0 0 7,600 7,200
Ryan Blaney 12 Ford 3 11.52 +1100 +350 +200 -150 15.3% 33.0% 45.5% 72.5% 13.27 88.35 17.29 91.77 0 0 10,000 14,000
Corey Lajoie 51 Ford 26 21.88 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 21.20 57.72 14.14 61.70 0 0 5,700 4,000
Chase Elliott 9 Chevrolet 1 10.47 +850 +250 +150 -150 19.8% 40.1% 53.2% 79.2% 12.80 91.80 14.29 89.10 0 0 9,500 11,500
Chris Buescher 17 Ford 14 16.69 +43500 +1800 +700 +200 0.4% 8.1% 17.2% 41.8% 12.40 81.77 17.00 68.34 0 0 8,600 10,000
Erik Jones 43 Toyota 28 22.30 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 25.27 53.40 22.29 77.24 0 0 6,200 3,800
BJ McLeod 78 Chevrolet 39 28.77 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 27.67 41.78 25.50 39.14 0 0 5,100 3,000
Ryan Preece 41 Ford 20 19.61 +10700 +1600 +400 0.0% 1.4% 7.8% 25.9% 19.13 57.30 21.43 78.12 0 0 6,600 4,800
Daniel Suarez 99 Chevrolet 24 20.49 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.86 64.26 19.29 63.77 0 0 7,400 6,500
Cody Ware 15 Ford 36 26.46 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 19.80 40.46 19.33 38.74 0 0 5,200 3,000
Ross Chastain 1 Chevrolet 5 13.74 +2400 +650 +350 +100 7.4% 20.2% 31.5% 58.9% 13.80 85.70 17.29 79.59 0 0 8,300 7,800
Bubba Wallace 23 Toyota 6 14.04 +2800 +700 +350 +100 6.5% 18.7% 29.8% 57.1% 14.93 78.17 16.71 83.90 0 0 8,500 10,500
Daniel Hemric 31 Chevrolet 23 20.46 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 22.40 49.73 12.60 77.07 0 0 5,900 3,500
William Byron 24 Chevrolet 2 11.16 +1000 +300 +200 -150 16.8% 35.4% 48.1% 74.8% 17.40 89.05 10.29 88.20 0 0 9,400 12,500
Tyler Reddick 45 Toyota 12 16.17 +13500 +1400 +600 +200 1.4% 9.8% 19.4% 44.7% 11.27 91.28 19.43 64.19 0 0 9,000 8,500
Justin Haley 7 Chevrolet 32 24.30 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 23.20 56.59 21.71 62.04 0 0 6,800 5,500
John Hunter Nemechek 42 Toyota 38 28.10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 26.87 49.27 21.80 36.00 0 0 5,600 4,500
Christopher Bell 20 Toyota 4 12.41 +1500 +450 +250 -100 11.9% 27.6% 39.6% 67.0% 12.00 93.88 16.14 77.57 0 0 8,000 7,500
Austin Cindric 2 Ford 15 16.72 +48800 +1800 +700 +200 0.4% 8.0% 17.1% 41.6% 18.40 66.74 17.14 78.22 0 0 8,100 9,500
Chase Briscoe 14 Ford 22 20.12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 19.93 71.31 21.29 65.99 0 0 7,300 6,000
Harrison Burton 21 Ford 37 26.57 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 24.00 47.39 21.71 53.45 0 0 6,000 4,200
Noah Gragson 10 Ford 18 17.92 +3200 +950 +250 0.0% 4.6% 12.7% 34.9% 21.00 62.87 23.80 84.35 0 0 7,100 5,200
Anthony Alfredo 62 Chevrolet 29 22.48 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 24.00 57.05 16.50 65.50 0 0 5,400 3,800
Zane Smith 71 Chevrolet 34 25.76 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 17.33 50.64 22.20 37.40 0 0 5,500 3,500
Josh Berry 4 Ford 25 21.64 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 24.80 65.14 24.33 71.00 0 0 6,400 5,000
Ty Gibbs 54 Toyota 19 19.05 +6600 +1400 +350 0.0% 2.2% 9.2% 28.8% 17.53 86.49 20.14 61.08 0 0 7,500 7,000
Todd Gilliland 38 Ford 17 17.76 +2900 +900 +250 0.0% 5.0% 13.2% 35.8% 19.53 65.86 23.43 80.34 0 0 6,700 6,200
Carson Hocevar 77 Chevrolet 30 22.71 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.53 62.61 23.17 55.00 0 0 6,100 4,000
Shane van Gisbergen 16 Chevrolet 35 26.37 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 27.00 62.34 31.67 56.60 0 0 5,800 3,500