Accupredict driver finish projections for the upcoming race. It ain't rocket science. But it's pretty darn close!
Sunday, October 6th, 2024
Talladega Superspeedway, Lincoln, AL
MAKE | IN RACE | ODDS TO WIN | PCT TO WIN |
---|---|---|---|
Chevrolet | 18 | +150 | 43% |
Ford | 14 | +400 | 19% |
Toyota | 8 | +150 | 38% |
BOLD METRICS are currently contributing to projection. 4 of 6 (66.7%) metrics are in use.
Accupredict projections are recalculated as new race metric data is available. (Last updated Tuesday, October 1st at 1:10pm ET)
DRIVER | VEH # | MAKE | AP RNK | AP FIN | AP WIN | AP T3 | AP T5 | AP T10 | AP WIN % | AP T3 % | AP T5 % | AP T10 % | RECENT | YTD DR | TYPE | TRACK | PRAC | ST | DK $ | FD $ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AJ Allmendinger | 13 | Chevrolet | 33 | 24.53 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26.44 | 59.92 | 18.67 | 48.40 | 0 | 0 | 6,500 | 3,800 | ||||
Brad Keselowski | 6 | Ford | 8 | 15.03 | +4700 | +950 | +450 | +150 | 3.9% | 14.2% | 24.7% | 51.3% | 17.20 | 79.60 | 18.57 | 82.07 | 0 | 0 | 9,600 | 13,500 |
Denny Hamlin | 11 | Toyota | 13 | 16.40 | +19800 | +1600 | +650 | +200 | 0.9% | 9.0% | 18.4% | 43.4% | 18.47 | 92.99 | 24.43 | 73.91 | 0 | 0 | 9,100 | 11,000 |
JJ Yeley | 44 | Chevrolet | 40 | 29.90 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 31.67 | 28.38 | 26.33 | 39.74 | 0 | 0 | 5,000 | 3,000 | ||||
Joey Logano | 22 | Ford | 16 | 17.23 | +2200 | +800 | +250 | 0.0% | 6.4% | 15.1% | 38.7% | 18.07 | 83.39 | 20.14 | 73.16 | 0 | 0 | 9,800 | 13,000 | |
Kyle Busch | 8 | Chevrolet | 7 | 14.16 | +2900 | +700 | +350 | +100 | 6.2% | 18.2% | 29.2% | 56.4% | 18.40 | 76.54 | 11.86 | 83.19 | 0 | 0 | 8,800 | 12,000 |
Martin Truex Jr | 19 | Toyota | 11 | 15.86 | +9300 | +1300 | +550 | +150 | 2.0% | 11.0% | 20.7% | 46.5% | 23.07 | 86.96 | 20.00 | 78.36 | 0 | 0 | 7,800 | 9,000 |
Michael McDowell | 34 | Ford | 21 | 20.05 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.73 | 69.59 | 23.14 | 68.80 | 0 | 0 | 7,700 | 8,200 | ||||
Austin Dillon | 3 | Chevrolet | 31 | 23.93 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.73 | 54.78 | 28.29 | 69.61 | 0 | 0 | 7,000 | 5,800 | ||||
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 47 | Chevrolet | 27 | 21.90 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.73 | 56.95 | 20.71 | 71.93 | 0 | 0 | 7,200 | 6,800 | ||||
Kyle Larson | 5 | Chevrolet | 10 | 15.21 | +5400 | +1000 | +450 | +150 | 3.5% | 13.5% | 23.8% | 50.2% | 16.13 | 99.79 | 23.57 | 73.99 | 0 | 0 | 9,200 | 8,000 |
Alex Bowman | 48 | Chevrolet | 9 | 15.19 | +5300 | +1000 | +450 | +150 | 3.5% | 13.6% | 23.9% | 50.4% | 15.73 | 79.82 | 12.86 | 74.82 | 0 | 0 | 7,600 | 7,200 |
Ryan Blaney | 12 | Ford | 3 | 11.52 | +1100 | +350 | +200 | -150 | 15.3% | 33.0% | 45.5% | 72.5% | 13.27 | 88.35 | 17.29 | 91.77 | 0 | 0 | 10,000 | 14,000 |
Corey Lajoie | 51 | Ford | 26 | 21.88 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.20 | 57.72 | 14.14 | 61.70 | 0 | 0 | 5,700 | 4,000 | ||||
Chase Elliott | 9 | Chevrolet | 1 | 10.47 | +850 | +250 | +150 | -150 | 19.8% | 40.1% | 53.2% | 79.2% | 12.80 | 91.80 | 14.29 | 89.10 | 0 | 0 | 9,500 | 11,500 |
Chris Buescher | 17 | Ford | 14 | 16.69 | +43500 | +1800 | +700 | +200 | 0.4% | 8.1% | 17.2% | 41.8% | 12.40 | 81.77 | 17.00 | 68.34 | 0 | 0 | 8,600 | 10,000 |
Erik Jones | 43 | Toyota | 28 | 22.30 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.27 | 53.40 | 22.29 | 77.24 | 0 | 0 | 6,200 | 3,800 | ||||
BJ McLeod | 78 | Chevrolet | 39 | 28.77 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.67 | 41.78 | 25.50 | 39.14 | 0 | 0 | 5,100 | 3,000 | ||||
Ryan Preece | 41 | Ford | 20 | 19.61 | +10700 | +1600 | +400 | 0.0% | 1.4% | 7.8% | 25.9% | 19.13 | 57.30 | 21.43 | 78.12 | 0 | 0 | 6,600 | 4,800 | |
Daniel Suarez | 99 | Chevrolet | 24 | 20.49 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.86 | 64.26 | 19.29 | 63.77 | 0 | 0 | 7,400 | 6,500 | ||||
Cody Ware | 15 | Ford | 36 | 26.46 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.80 | 40.46 | 19.33 | 38.74 | 0 | 0 | 5,200 | 3,000 | ||||
Ross Chastain | 1 | Chevrolet | 5 | 13.74 | +2400 | +650 | +350 | +100 | 7.4% | 20.2% | 31.5% | 58.9% | 13.80 | 85.70 | 17.29 | 79.59 | 0 | 0 | 8,300 | 7,800 |
Bubba Wallace | 23 | Toyota | 6 | 14.04 | +2800 | +700 | +350 | +100 | 6.5% | 18.7% | 29.8% | 57.1% | 14.93 | 78.17 | 16.71 | 83.90 | 0 | 0 | 8,500 | 10,500 |
Daniel Hemric | 31 | Chevrolet | 23 | 20.46 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.40 | 49.73 | 12.60 | 77.07 | 0 | 0 | 5,900 | 3,500 | ||||
William Byron | 24 | Chevrolet | 2 | 11.16 | +1000 | +300 | +200 | -150 | 16.8% | 35.4% | 48.1% | 74.8% | 17.40 | 89.05 | 10.29 | 88.20 | 0 | 0 | 9,400 | 12,500 |
Tyler Reddick | 45 | Toyota | 12 | 16.17 | +13500 | +1400 | +600 | +200 | 1.4% | 9.8% | 19.4% | 44.7% | 11.27 | 91.28 | 19.43 | 64.19 | 0 | 0 | 9,000 | 8,500 |
Justin Haley | 7 | Chevrolet | 32 | 24.30 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23.20 | 56.59 | 21.71 | 62.04 | 0 | 0 | 6,800 | 5,500 | ||||
John Hunter Nemechek | 42 | Toyota | 38 | 28.10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26.87 | 49.27 | 21.80 | 36.00 | 0 | 0 | 5,600 | 4,500 | ||||
Christopher Bell | 20 | Toyota | 4 | 12.41 | +1500 | +450 | +250 | -100 | 11.9% | 27.6% | 39.6% | 67.0% | 12.00 | 93.88 | 16.14 | 77.57 | 0 | 0 | 8,000 | 7,500 |
Austin Cindric | 2 | Ford | 15 | 16.72 | +48800 | +1800 | +700 | +200 | 0.4% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 41.6% | 18.40 | 66.74 | 17.14 | 78.22 | 0 | 0 | 8,100 | 9,500 |
Chase Briscoe | 14 | Ford | 22 | 20.12 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.93 | 71.31 | 21.29 | 65.99 | 0 | 0 | 7,300 | 6,000 | ||||
Harrison Burton | 21 | Ford | 37 | 26.57 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 24.00 | 47.39 | 21.71 | 53.45 | 0 | 0 | 6,000 | 4,200 | ||||
Noah Gragson | 10 | Ford | 18 | 17.92 | +3200 | +950 | +250 | 0.0% | 4.6% | 12.7% | 34.9% | 21.00 | 62.87 | 23.80 | 84.35 | 0 | 0 | 7,100 | 5,200 | |
Anthony Alfredo | 62 | Chevrolet | 29 | 22.48 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 24.00 | 57.05 | 16.50 | 65.50 | 0 | 0 | 5,400 | 3,800 | ||||
Zane Smith | 71 | Chevrolet | 34 | 25.76 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.33 | 50.64 | 22.20 | 37.40 | 0 | 0 | 5,500 | 3,500 | ||||
Josh Berry | 4 | Ford | 25 | 21.64 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 24.80 | 65.14 | 24.33 | 71.00 | 0 | 0 | 6,400 | 5,000 | ||||
Ty Gibbs | 54 | Toyota | 19 | 19.05 | +6600 | +1400 | +350 | 0.0% | 2.2% | 9.2% | 28.8% | 17.53 | 86.49 | 20.14 | 61.08 | 0 | 0 | 7,500 | 7,000 | |
Todd Gilliland | 38 | Ford | 17 | 17.76 | +2900 | +900 | +250 | 0.0% | 5.0% | 13.2% | 35.8% | 19.53 | 65.86 | 23.43 | 80.34 | 0 | 0 | 6,700 | 6,200 | |
Carson Hocevar | 77 | Chevrolet | 30 | 22.71 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.53 | 62.61 | 23.17 | 55.00 | 0 | 0 | 6,100 | 4,000 | ||||
Shane van Gisbergen | 16 | Chevrolet | 35 | 26.37 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 62.34 | 31.67 | 56.60 | 0 | 0 | 5,800 | 3,500 |