CUP Series

NASCAR CUP Series

Draftkings Dominator Points Cheatsheet

Dominator Points in DraftKings DFS games refer to the bonus points awarded to a driver for leading laps and for achieving the fastest laps during a race. These points are crucial for maximizing a player's DFS score, as they reward drivers who perform exceptionally well and dominate the race.

Brickyard 400

Sunday, July 21st, 2024

Indianapolis Motor Speedway, Indianapolis, IN

  • 50.00Laps Led points
  • 90.00Fast Laps points*
  • 140.00Total Dominator Bonus points

* Fast Laps Dominator Points will always be less than the optimal points due to caution laps - drivers are not credited with Fast Laps while under caution.

'Top Dominators' Point Distribution Charts

Before diving deep into strategy, it's crucial to get a quick lay of the land. By studying the bar charts displaying the top dominators for recent races at this track, players can understand the general trend of how dominator points are awarded here. Remember, every track is unique and can favor different strategies.

  1. Spotting the Consistent Performers: Focus on drivers who consistently make it to the top of the Dominator Points table across multiple races. These drivers not only perform well at this particular track but also have the right combination of skill, car performance, and team strategy to maximize their Dominator Points. Consider giving them priority when making your selections.
  2. Understanding Track Dynamics: Some tracks might favor drivers starting from the back due to potential place differential points, while others might reward those who start up front and dominate. Look at the 'start' and 'finish' positions in the table. If you notice that top dominators often start in higher positions, it suggests that qualifying well and maintaining that lead is crucial at this track.
  3. Laps Led vs. Fast Laps: Break down the Dominator Points into its components. Some drivers might lead more laps, while others might have more fast laps. If a driver is consistently leading a significant percentage of laps but isn't clocking fast laps, it indicates they're good at maintaining a lead but might not be the fastest on the track. Conversely, drivers with a high percentage of fast laps but fewer laps led might face challenges in overtaking but have the speed when they find clear track. Adjust your strategy based on what earns more points at this track.
  4. Balancing Risk with Reward: The 'Rank' column provides insights into a driver's overall performance, including non-dominator aspects. A high-ranking driver with fewer dominator points might have a balanced performance across various scoring categories. In contrast, a low-ranked driver with high Dominator Points is a high-risk, high-reward choice: they score big when they dominate but might falter in other aspects.
  5. Take Notes and Adjust: No strategy is foolproof. Use this data as a starting point, but be sure to make notes on race days, especially when unexpected events shake up the usual trends. Over time, you'll develop a nuanced understanding of the track, the drivers, and the hidden dynamics at play.

Remember, the essence of daily fantasy sports lies in combining data with intuition. These insights serve as a guide, but trust your gut, watch the races, and adjust your strategies as you learn more. The beauty of NASCAR DFS is that every race brings new opportunities to score big. So study the stats, enjoy the race, and may your roster lead you to victory lane!

Fast Lap Projections

Brickyard 400, Sunday, July 21st, 2024

The values you see here are what is also displayed in your projection table. I believe in transparency, and understanding the method behind the madness can help you make better-informed decisions. Thanks for trusting my process! Below this table is an explanation of my method for determining fast laps.

DRIVER PROJECTED ACTUAL ABS DIFF PTS IMP
Ross Chastain 0
Austin Cindric 0
Austin Dillon 0
Josh Berry 0
Kyle Larson 11
Brad Keselowski 4
Corey Lajoie 0
Kyle Busch 18
Chase Elliott 22
Noah Gragson 0
Denny Hamlin 46
Ryan Blaney 18
Chase Briscoe 0
Cody Ware 0
AJ Allmendinger 0
Chris Buescher 0
Martin Truex Jr 2
Christopher Bell 2
Harrison Burton 0
Joey Logano 7
Bubba Wallace 7
William Byron 11
Daniel Hemric 0
Ty Dillon 0
Michael McDowell 0
Todd Gilliland 0
Ryan Preece 0
John Hunter Nemechek 0
Erik Jones 4
Tyler Reddick 2
Ricky Stenhouse Jr 0
Alex Bowman 2
Justin Haley 0
Ty Gibbs 0
BJ McLeod 0
Zane Smith 0
Carson Hocevar 0
Jimmie Johnson 0
Daniel Suarez 0
How I Project Fast Laps: A Peek Behind the Scenes
  1. Historical Data: I start by examining the last 'n' races, giving me a solid foundation of recent performance to predict future outcomes.
  2. Net Laps Calculation: Racing isn't just about speed – it's also about strategy and luck. Caution laps are a testament to that. I subtract all caution laps from the total to get the net laps for each of the races in my data set.
  3. Driver's Fast Lap Percentage: For each driver, I compute the percentage of fast laps they've achieved from these net laps. This gives me a driver's average 'speediness' across the analyzed races.
  4. Track-Specific Adjustments: Each track is unique, and historical trends matter. I look at the last 'n' races at the upcoming track to determine the average number of caution laps. Deducting this from the total laps for the upcoming race gives me the projected race laps.
  5. Projected Fast Laps: With the driver's fast lap percentage in hand and the projected race laps, I calculate the number of fast laps I expect each driver to achieve in the upcoming race using their assigned percentage.
  6. Normalization: Racing is unpredictable, and usually my initial projections may not sum up to the total projected race laps. To ensure consistency, I adjust my predictions so that the total number of projected fast laps equals 100% of the projected race laps.
  7. Continued Evaluation & Refinement: My model isn't static. I continually assess its accuracy using the Mean Absolute Error method. This allows me to identify areas of improvement and ensure my projections are as accurate as possible.

Draftkings Dominator points from recent races at Indianapolis Motor Speedway

Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 (race #16)

Sunday, July 5th, 2020

  • Laps: 161
  • Caution Flags: 9 (2 Stage cautions and 7 other.)
  • Caution Laps: 43
  • Lead Changes: 11

Laps Led Dominator Points

Filter Laps Led:
TOP 'LAPS LED' DOMINATOR POINTS LAPS LED DRAFTKINGS POINTS
DRIVER TEAM # MAKE ST FIN LED % LED RNK PD FIN FST LED TOT % OF TOT
Kevin Harvick Stewart-Haas Racing 4 Ford 1111th 11st 68 42.2 % 1 10 46 14.50 17 87.50 19.4 %
Chase Elliott Hendrick Motorsports 9 Chevrolet 1010th 1111th 26 16.1 % 6 -1 33 10.50 7 49.00 14.3 %
Denny Hamlin Joe Gibbs Racing 11 Toyota 66th 2828th 19 11.8 % 29 -22 16 11.00 5 9.75 51.3 %
William Byron Hendrick Motorsports 24 Chevrolet 1818th 2727th 15 9.3 % 28 -9 17 3.50 4 15.25 26.2 %
Joey Logano Team Penske 22 Ford 11st 1010th 14 8.7 % 21 -9 34 2.00 4 30.50 13.1 %
Matt Kenseth Chip Ganassi Racing 42 Chevrolet 2121st 22nd 12 7.5 % 2 19 42 3.00 3 67.00 4.5 %
Austin Dillon Richard Childress Raci… 3 Chevrolet 1616th 1818th 5 3.1 % 23 -2 26 0.00 1 25.25 4.0 %
Garrett Smithley Rick Ware Racing 53 Chevrolet 2828th 2424th 1 0.6 % 24 4 20 0.00 0 24.25 0 %
Ross Chastain Spire Motorsports 77 Chevrolet 3232nd 1717th 1 0.6 % 11 15 27 0.00 0 42.25 0 %

Fast Laps Dominator Points

Total Fast Lap Dominator points for this race were reduced by 19.35 points. (43 caution laps x 0.45 points)

Filter Fast Laps:
TOP 'LAPS FAST' DOMINATOR POINTS LAPS FAST DRAFTKINGS POINTS
DRIVER TEAM # MAKE ST FIN FST % FST RNK PD FIN FST LED TOT % OF TOT
Kevin Harvick Stewart-Haas Racing 4 Ford 1111th 11st 29 25.2% 1 10 46 14.50 17.00 87.50 16.6 %
Denny Hamlin Joe Gibbs Racing 11 Toyota 66th 2828th 22 19.1% 29 -22 16 11.00 4.75 9.75 112.8 %
Chase Elliott Hendrick Motorsports 9 Chevrolet 1010th 1111th 21 18.3% 6 -1 33 10.50 6.50 49.00 21.4 %
William Byron Hendrick Motorsports 24 Chevrolet 1818th 2727th 7 6.1% 28 -9 17 3.50 3.75 15.25 23.0 %
Matt Kenseth Chip Ganassi Racing 42 Chevrolet 2121st 22nd 6 5.2% 2 19 42 3.00 3.00 67.00 4.5 %
Aric Almirola Stewart-Haas Racing 10 Ford 55th 33rd 4 3.5% 8 2 41 2.00 0.00 45.00 4.4 %
Joey Logano Team Penske 22 Ford 11st 1010th 4 3.5% 21 -9 34 2.00 3.50 30.50 6.6 %
Ryan Blaney Team Penske 12 Ford 1212th 3232nd 4 3.5% 36 -20 12 2.00 0.00 -6.00 -33.3 %
Timmy Hill Motorsports Business M… 66 Toyota 3838th 2929th 3 2.6% 22 9 15 1.50 0.00 25.50 5.9 %
Bubba Wallace Richard Petty Motorspo… 43 Chevrolet 1717th 99th 3 2.6% 10 8 35 1.50 0.00 44.50 3.4 %
Brad Keselowski Team Penske 2 Ford 99th 44th 2 1.7% 7 5 40 1.00 0.00 46.00 2.2 %
Tyler Reddick Richard Childress Raci… 8 Chevrolet 1313th 88th 2 1.7% 12 5 36 1.00 0.00 42.00 2.4 %
Kyle Busch Joe Gibbs Racing 18 Toyota 77th 66th 2 1.7% 14 1 38 1.00 0.00 40.00 2.5 %
Christopher Bell Leavine Family Racing 95 Toyota 3535th 1212th 2 1.7% 5 23 32 1.00 0.00 56.00 1.8 %
Chris Buescher RFK Racing 17 Ford 2020th 3131st 1 0.9% 30 -11 13 0.50 0.00 2.50 20.0 %
Joey Gase Petty Ware Racing 51 Ford 2525th 2626th 1 0.9% 27 -1 18 0.50 0.00 17.50 2.9 %
Daniel Suarez Gaunt Brothers Racing 96 Toyota 3737th 2020th 1 0.9% 13 17 24 0.50 0.00 41.50 1.2 %
Cole Custer Stewart-Haas Racing 41 Ford 3030th 55th 1 0.9% 3 25 39 0.50 0.00 64.50 0.8 %

Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard (race #26)

Monday, September 9th, 2019

  • Laps: 160
  • Caution Flags: 9 (2 Stage cautions and 7 other.)
  • Caution Laps: 48
  • Lead Changes: 13

Laps Led Dominator Points

Filter Laps Led:
TOP 'LAPS LED' DOMINATOR POINTS LAPS LED DRAFTKINGS POINTS
DRIVER TEAM # MAKE ST FIN LED % LED RNK PD FIN FST LED TOT % OF TOT
Kevin Harvick Stewart-Haas Racing 4 Ford 11st 11st 118 73.8 % 1 0 46 21.50 30 97.00 30.9 %
Ryan Blaney Team Penske 12 Ford 99th 77th 19 11.9 % 6 2 37 6.50 5 50.25 10.0 %
Joey Logano Team Penske 22 Ford 44th 22nd 11 6.9 % 8 2 42 1.00 3 47.75 6.3 %
Kyle Larson Chip Ganassi Racing 42 Chevrolet 1919th 3333rd 5 3.1 % 32 -14 11 5.00 1 3.25 30.8 %
Jimmie Johnson Hendrick Motorsports 48 Chevrolet 55th 3535th 4 2.5 % 37 -30 9 0.50 1 -19.50 -5.1 %
William Byron Hendrick Motorsports 24 Chevrolet 2929th 44th 1 0.6 % 3 25 40 1.00 0 66.25 0 %
Ross Chastain Premium Motorsports 15 Chevrolet 3434th 2222nd 1 0.6 % 17 12 22 0.00 0 34.25 0 %
Paul Menard Wood Brothers Racing 21 Ford 22nd 1010th 1 0.6 % 23 -8 34 0.00 0 26.25 0 %

Fast Laps Dominator Points

Total Fast Lap Dominator points for this race were reduced by 21.6 points. (48 caution laps x 0.45 points)

Filter Fast Laps:
TOP 'LAPS FAST' DOMINATOR POINTS LAPS FAST DRAFTKINGS POINTS
DRIVER TEAM # MAKE ST FIN FST % FST RNK PD FIN FST LED TOT % OF TOT
Kevin Harvick Stewart-Haas Racing 4 Ford 11st 11st 43 38.7% 1 0 46 21.50 29.50 97.00 22.2 %
Kurt Busch Chip Ganassi Racing 1 Chevrolet 88th 3030th 18 16.2% 33 -22 14 9.00 0.00 1.00 900.0 %
Ryan Blaney Team Penske 12 Ford 99th 77th 13 11.7% 6 2 37 6.50 4.75 50.25 12.9 %
Kyle Larson Chip Ganassi Racing 42 Chevrolet 1919th 3333rd 10 9.0% 32 -14 11 5.00 1.25 3.25 153.8 %
Denny Hamlin Joe Gibbs Racing 11 Toyota 3333rd 66th 5 4.5% 2 27 38 2.50 0.00 67.50 3.7 %
Bubba Wallace Richard Petty Motorspo… 43 Chevrolet 1515th 33rd 4 3.6% 4 12 41 2.00 0.00 55.00 3.6 %
Kyle Busch Joe Gibbs Racing 18 Toyota 77th 3737th 3 2.7% 39 -30 7 1.50 0.00 -21.50 -7.0 %
William Byron Hendrick Motorsports 24 Chevrolet 2929th 44th 2 1.8% 3 25 40 1.00 0.25 66.25 1.5 %
Alex Bowman Hendrick Motorsports 88 Chevrolet 1313th 2121st 2 1.8% 29 -8 23 1.00 0.00 16.00 6.3 %
Josh Bilicki Rick Ware Racing 53 Ford 3939th 2929th 2 1.8% 24 10 15 1.00 0.00 26.00 3.8 %
Joey Logano Team Penske 22 Ford 44th 22nd 2 1.8% 8 2 42 1.00 2.75 47.75 2.1 %
Martin Truex Joe Gibbs Racing 19 Toyota 2727th 2727th 2 1.8% 28 0 17 1.00 0.00 18.00 5.6 %
Ricky Stenhouse RFK Racing 17 Ford 1212th 3131st 1 0.9% 35 -19 13 0.50 0.00 -5.50 -9.1 %
Chase Elliott Hendrick Motorsports 9 Chevrolet 2424th 99th 1 0.9% 5 15 35 0.50 0.00 50.50 1.0 %
Jimmie Johnson Hendrick Motorsports 48 Chevrolet 55th 3535th 1 0.9% 37 -30 9 0.50 1.00 -19.50 -2.6 %
Matt DiBenedetto Leavine Family Racing 95 Toyota 2626th 1818th 1 0.9% 16 8 26 0.50 0.00 34.50 1.4 %
Michael McDowell Front Row Motorsports 34 Ford 2121st 1717th 1 0.9% 20 4 27 0.50 0.00 31.50 1.6 %

Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard (race #26)

Sunday, September 9th, 2018

  • Laps: 160
  • Caution Flags: 10 (2 Stage cautions and 8 other.)
  • Caution Laps: 39
  • Lead Changes: 14

Laps Led Dominator Points

Filter Laps Led:
TOP 'LAPS LED' DOMINATOR POINTS LAPS LED DRAFTKINGS POINTS
DRIVER TEAM # MAKE ST FIN LED % LED RNK PD FIN FST LED TOT % OF TOT
Clint Bowyer Stewart-Haas Racing 14 Ford 88th 55th 37 23.1 % 2 3 39 7.50 9 58.75 15.3 %
Denny Hamlin Joe Gibbs Racing 11 Toyota 1010th 33rd 37 23.1 % 1 7 41 10.00 9 67.25 13.4 %
Kyle Busch Joe Gibbs Racing 18 Toyota 11st 88th 27 16.9 % 10 -7 36 6.50 7 42.25 16.6 %
Kevin Harvick Stewart-Haas Racing 4 Ford 22nd 44th 22 13.8 % 3 -2 40 13.00 6 56.50 10.6 %
Kurt Busch Stewart-Haas Racing 41 Ford 44th 66th 19 11.9 % 8 -2 38 6.00 5 46.75 10.7 %
Brad Keselowski Team Penske 2 Ford 66th 11st 9 5.6 % 5 5 46 1.50 2 54.75 3.7 %
Matt Kenseth RFK Racing 6 Ford 2929th 1212th 5 3.1 % 6 17 32 2.00 1 52.25 1.9 %
William Byron Hendrick Motorsports 24 Chevrolet 2222nd 1919th 3 1.9 % 16 3 25 1.00 1 29.75 3.4 %
Ryan Blaney Team Penske 12 Ford 99th 1111th 1 0.6 % 14 -2 33 0.50 0 31.75 0 %

Fast Laps Dominator Points

Total Fast Lap Dominator points for this race were reduced by 17.55 points. (39 caution laps x 0.45 points)

Filter Fast Laps:
TOP 'LAPS FAST' DOMINATOR POINTS LAPS FAST DRAFTKINGS POINTS
DRIVER TEAM # MAKE ST FIN FST % FST RNK PD FIN FST LED TOT % OF TOT
Kevin Harvick Stewart-Haas Racing 4 Ford 22nd 44th 26 23.4% 3 -2 40 13.00 5.50 56.50 23.0 %
Denny Hamlin Joe Gibbs Racing 11 Toyota 1010th 33rd 20 18.0% 1 7 41 10.00 9.25 67.25 14.9 %
Clint Bowyer Stewart-Haas Racing 14 Ford 88th 55th 15 13.5% 2 3 39 7.50 9.25 58.75 12.8 %
Kyle Busch Joe Gibbs Racing 18 Toyota 11st 88th 13 11.7% 10 -7 36 6.50 6.75 42.25 15.4 %
Kurt Busch Stewart-Haas Racing 41 Ford 44th 66th 12 10.8% 8 -2 38 6.00 4.75 46.75 12.8 %
Erik Jones Joe Gibbs Racing 20 Toyota 1313th 22nd 5 4.5% 4 11 42 2.50 0.00 55.50 4.5 %
Matt Kenseth RFK Racing 6 Ford 2929th 1212th 4 3.6% 6 17 32 2.00 1.25 52.25 3.8 %
Aric Almirola Stewart-Haas Racing 10 Ford 1212th 2323rd 4 3.6% 33 -11 21 2.00 0.00 12.00 16.7 %
Brad Keselowski Team Penske 2 Ford 66th 11st 3 2.7% 5 5 46 1.50 2.25 54.75 2.7 %
William Byron Hendrick Motorsports 24 Chevrolet 2222nd 1919th 2 1.8% 16 3 25 1.00 0.75 29.75 3.4 %
Jamie McMurray Chip Ganassi Racing 1 Chevrolet 2121st 77th 2 1.8% 7 14 37 1.00 0.00 52.00 1.9 %
Paul Menard Wood Brothers Racing 21 Ford 1919th 99th 2 1.8% 9 10 35 1.00 0.00 46.00 2.2 %
Ryan Newman Richard Childress Raci… 31 Chevrolet 1717th 1010th 1 0.9% 11 7 34 0.50 0.00 41.50 1.2 %
Kyle Larson Chip Ganassi Racing 42 Chevrolet 77th 1414th 1 0.9% 23 -7 30 0.50 0.00 23.50 2.1 %
Ryan Blaney Team Penske 12 Ford 99th 1111th 1 0.9% 14 -2 33 0.50 0.25 31.75 1.6 %